Youngstown State
W-L: ( 3-13) PR = 72.2849Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 206 H Bucknell Patriot (10- 7, 84.0) 6-20 208 H Old Dominion AAC ( 5-12, 76.2) 12-14 215 H George Mason Atlantic 10 ( 6-10, 76.0) 6-17 222 A Monmouth (NJ) Colonial ( 9- 8, 79.8) 7-17 225 A UMBC America Eas ( 7- 8, 80.6) 5-14 306 H Marquette Big East ( 9- 7, 86.0) 9-19 314 H Massachusetts Atlantic 10 (16- 3, 89.5) 3-21 319 A Robert Morris MAC ( 6-12, 75.4) 5- 4 322 A Cincinnati Big 12 ( 9- 8, 83.0) 3-22 324 A Pittsburgh ACC ( 9- 7, 88.7) 5-16 328 H Kent State MAC ( 7-10, 75.9) 4- 8 404 A Detroit Mercy MAC ( 0-12, 66.0) 15- 7 408 A Duquesne Atlantic 10 ( 2-13, 73.1) 13-11 411 H Central Michigan MAC ( 4-12, 74.4) 6- 7 418 A Akron MAC (12- 5, 80.4) 7-16 425 H Eastern Michigan MAC (10- 7, 79.5) 4-16
PREDICTION LIST
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|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
206 H Bucknell 6-20 -14 -10 - -3.63
208 H Old Dominion 12-14 -2 -3 0.51
215 H George Mason 6-17 -11 -2 --- -8.68
222 A Monmouth (NJ) 7-17 -10 -9 -1.12
225 A UMBC 5-14 -9 -10 0.70
306 H Marquette 9-19 -10 -12 + 2.35
314 H Massachusetts 3-21 -18 -16 0.00
319 A Robert Morris 5- 4 1 -5 ++ 5.53
322 A Cincinnati 3-22 -19 -12 -1.95
324 A Pittsburgh 5-16 -11 -18 + 3.00
328 H Kent State 4- 8 -4 -2 -1.80
404 A Detroit Mercy 15- 7 8 5 + 3.04
408 A Duquesne 13-11 2 -2 ++ 4.19
411 H Central Michigan 6- 7 -1 -1 -0.25
418 A Akron 7-16 -9 -9 0.47
425 H Eastern Michigan 4-16 -12 -6 --- -6.14
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 215 H George Mason 6-17 -11 -2 --- -8.68 425 H Eastern Michigan 4-16 -12 -6 --- -6.14 206 H Bucknell 6-20 -14 -10 - -3.63 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 319 A Robert Morris 5- 4 1 -5 ++ 5.53 408 A Duquesne 13-11 2 -2 ++ 4.19 306 H Marquette 9-19 -10 -12 + 2.35 324 A Pittsburgh 5-16 -11 -18 + 3.00 404 A Detroit Mercy 15- 7 8 5 + 3.04 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 17.32
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 H Bucknell (10- 7, 84.0) 6-20 -15.88 24.29 -1.37 1.08 -9.34
3 H Old Dominion ( 5-12, 76.2) 12-14 -23.74 16.43 -1.37 1.08 -13.59
3 H George Mason ( 6-10, 76.0) 6-17 -23.93 16.24 -1.37 1.08 -13.69
3 A Monmouth (NJ) ( 9- 8, 79.8) 7-17 -20.10 20.06 1.37 1.08 -10.14
3 A UMBC ( 7- 8, 80.6) 5-14 -19.29 20.88 1.37 1.08 -9.70
3 H Marquette ( 9- 7, 86.0) 9-19 -13.90 26.27 -1.37 1.08 -8.26
3 H Massachusetts (16- 3, 89.5) 3-21 -10.43 29.74 -1.37 1.08 -6.39
3 A Robert Morris ( 6-12, 75.4) 5- 4 -24.46 15.71 1.37 1.08 36.98
3 A Cincinnati ( 9- 8, 83.0) 3-22 -16.93 23.23 1.37 1.08 -8.43
3 A Pittsburgh ( 9- 7, 88.7) 5-16 -11.19 28.97 1.37 1.08 -5.32
3 H Kent State ( 7-10, 75.9) 4- 8 -24.04 16.12 -1.37 1.08 -13.76
3 A Detroit Mercy ( 0-12, 66.0) 15- 7 -33.94 6.23 1.37 1.08 16.44
3 A Duquesne ( 2-13, 73.1) 13-11 -26.79 13.37 1.37 1.08 31.92
3 H Central Michig ( 4-12, 74.4) 6- 7 -25.50 14.67 -1.37 1.08 -14.55
3 A Akron (12- 5, 80.4) 7-16 -19.51 20.66 1.37 1.08 -9.82
3 H Eastern Michig (10- 7, 79.5) 4-16 -20.39 19.78 -1.37 1.08 -11.78
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-49.41
|
winning pts = 85.3467 losing points = -134.7611
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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